Hurricane Gordon

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Hurricane Gordon formed near the Yucatan peninsula and quickly crossed the Gulf of Mexico. It made landfall along northwest Florida.
These photos were taken in Hurricane Gordon on Saturday, Sept 16th. The next evening, the hurricane encountered more wind shear, which weakened the storm to a tropical storm before it stuck Florida.
We typically fly these hurricanes at 5000 feet (at 850 millibars, a standard level used by meteorologists around the world), and fly higher when the storm becomes stronger. We plunge in and out of clouds the entire flight, catching glimpses of the sea surface when we hit a clearing.


Looking straight down at the sea a mile below, we can estimate the winds below us by the character of the ocean surface... greenish patches of foam attest to winds of at least tropical storm force in this area. At the same time, we are constantly collecting precise wind data at our altitude, using sensors mounted on the plane.

Our aircrews consist of at least six members... On this crew, Pilot Dwayne came all the way from his airline job in Guam to fly with us... (think about that the next time you grumble about your commute to work...), which shows just how much our Reservists enjoy this mission. Knowing that we are helping so many people, as part of the national hurricane surveillance network, is what keeps us coming back to this job each season. We will continue to fly Hurricane Gordon around the clock, until it makes landfall.

000WTNT42 KNHC 191433TCDAT2HURRICANE GORDON DISCUSSION NUMBER 35NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0720061100 AM EDT TUE SEP 19 2006THERE IS ONLY A HINT OF AN EYE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT THE CLOUDPATTERN REMAINS VERY WELL ORGANIZED FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT SUCHHIGH LATITUDE...AND IT IS STILL DETACHED FROM ANY FRONTAL SYSTEM.THE WEAKENING TREND HAS ALREADY BEGUN AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY ISLOWERED TO 75 KNOTS. SINCE GORDON IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVERINCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS AND BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH A FRONTALSYSTEM...IT SHOULD BECOME A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN ABOUT24 HOURS. ALL PHASE DIAGRAMS FROM FSU SUGGEST THAT GORDON SHOULDBECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL SOON. HOWEVER...IT IS VERY DIFFICULT TOFORECAST THE PRECISE TIMING OF THIS OCCURRENCE. THE BOTTOM LINE ISTHAT GORDON IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AZORES AS A HURRICANE.GORDON IS ALREADY EMBEDDED IN THE WESTERLIES AND IS MOVING EASTWARDOR 090 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS. THIS FLOW IS FORECAST TO PERSIST SOGORDON SHOULD CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOTHE EAST-NORTHEAST. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING GORDON ACROSS THEAZORES TODAY AND NEAR NORTHWESTERN SPAIN ON THURSDAY AS A STRONGEXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. BY THEN...THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY BE ALREADYABSORBED BY A MUCH LARGER FRONTAL SYSTEM.FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDSINITIAL 19/1500Z 38.0N 35.4W 75 KT 12HR VT 20/0000Z 38.1N 30.1W 65 KT 24HR VT 20/1200Z 39.0N 22.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 21/0000Z 41.0N 14.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 21/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM$$FORECASTER AVILA

Hurricane GORDON Public Advisory
000WTNT32 KNHC 191739TCPAT2BULLETINHURRICANE GORDON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35ANWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006200 PM AST TUE SEP 19 2006...GORDON EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AZORES TONIGHT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. AHURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDWITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TOPROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.0 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM...WEST OF THE ISLAND OF TERCEIRA IN THE AZORES.GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD ON A GENERAL EASTWARD TRACK NEAR 31 MPH...50KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THENEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACK WOULD BRING GORDON ACROSS THE AZORESTONIGHT.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. HOWEVER...STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELYOVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. GORDON IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE AS ITPASSES NEAR OR ACROSS THE AZORES ISLANDS.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175MILES...280 KM.ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ALONG WITH STORM SURGES OF 1 TO3 FT ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE AZORES.GORDON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4INCHES OVER THE AZORES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHESOVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...37.8 N...34.0 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...EAST NEAR 31 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT500 PM AST.$$FORECASTER AVILA

Gordon is still a Category 1 hurricane and looks like it could effect land. Gordon is forecast to head nearly due east and hit the Azores as a transitioning extratropical storm. If anyone over there is reading this, you've dealt with worse - but stay dry.
Hurricane Helene is now the season's second major hurricane - a Category 3 storm with winds of 125 mph. The long-term outlook with the storm is hazy - it's currently moving north, is expected to turn back west, and then turn back north and potentially threaten Bermuda again. The models have done pretty awful with Helene so far, so it bears watching, just because no one has any idea what it's going to do. I'm thinking Bermuda could get a nice sideswipe but I really don't see it as much of a threat to anywhere else.

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